WITH a little over two months to go before the scheduled May 9 elections, presidential candidate Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos is continuing to tighten his grip on the number one spot to lead all other bets, after he registered a seemingly insurmountable 53 % preference vote in the latest nationwide Pulso ng Pilipino survey conducted by the Issues and Advocacy Center (The Center) on Feb.9-15.
The survey which used 2,400 respondents and conducted at the start of campaign period for national positions, has a margin of error of 3.0% + - and a confidence level in excess of 98%.
Marcos is followed by Leni Robredo with 16.75%. In third place is Isko Domagoso with 11.25%. , trailed by Ping Lacson who is in fourth position with 8.75 % while Manny Pacquiao is in 5th with measly 6%.
He dominated in all regions and had the highest percentage in Mindanao with 56% as against 11% for Robredo.
His 53% is even higher by two percentage points than the last nationwide Pulso ng Pilipino survey conducted by The Center last January 10- 16, which he also topped after obtaining 51% preference votes.
At that time, Domagoso was second with 14 %, followed by Robredo with 11%, Pacquiao had 10% at fourth and Lacson was at fifth with 8% while the other bets shared the remaining six percent.
In the latest survey, Marcos is also the preferred choice in the NCR with 51%, in Luzon with 53% and in the Visayas with 52%. Robredo came in second in the NCR with 20%, 19% in Luzon and 17% in the Visayas.
He also topped all social classes garnering 43 % from the ABC class, 45% from the working or D class and 40% from E class.
In his brief overview, The Center Director Ed Malay described Marcos’ continued dominance as phenomenal, noting that he is poised to win the presidency barring any unforeseen events especially those that could be instigated by foreign powers that have interests in the results of the country’s elections.
He pointed out that with “all the mudslinging and disparagement thrown at former Sen. Bongbong Marcos, any ordinary mortal would have either wilted or ran away from the battlefield”.
“But BBM as he is called by associates chose to ignore the vitriol and the verbal abuse and for some inexplicable reason he remains on top of the presidential race with a pre-poll survey rating that has been described as phenomenal,” Malay said.
“Never in the history of Philippine politics had there been a presidential aspirant who is credited with a +50% rating in the pre-poll survey. In fact, Laylo Research Strategies in their January 2022 survey even showed BBM on top with 64%,” he continued.
In the race for the vice presidency, Marcos’ running mate Inday Sara Duterte’s 54 % leads the field while Vicente ‘Tito’ Sotto III follows at second with 25%,.
Willie Ong, is in third with 11%, Francisco “Kiko” Pangilinan is in fourth with 4%, Joselito Atienza is in fifth with 2% and Walden Bello brings up the rear with .5% while least 3.5% of the respondents said they are still undecided.
Malay explained their latest non-commissioned survey used a combination of the traditional face-to-face multistage probability sampling of respondents as well as digital tools that are available in observance of health protocols.
The respondents were culled from among registered voters in the survey areas and cross-screened by their trained political listening posts on the ground and political oil spots in the areas covered.
“The Center employed the commonly used MSAP method or the multi-stage area sampling with the skip interval of at least five houses to obviate any bias in the data extraction,” Malay elaborated.
BBM 53%, SURVEY TRAJECTORY PATAAS PA; LENI, 16.75%
MAHIGIT dalawang buwan na lang bago ang halalan sa Mayo, napanatili ni presidential candidate Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. ang kanyang lamang sa mga katunggali matapos makapagtala ng 53 porsyento preference rating sa pinakahuling Pulso ng Pilipino survey na isinagawa ng Issues and Advocacy Center (The Center) nitong Peb. 9-15.
Ang survey na isinagawa sa 2, 400 respondents nitong umpisa ng campaign period para sa mga national position ay may margin of error na 3.0% + - at may “confidence level na lagpas sa 98%.”
Malayong nasa pangalawa si Robredo na may 16.75%. Pangatlo si Isko Domagoso na may 11.25%. , habang si Ping Lacson ang pang-apat na may 8.75 % at si Manny Pacquiao sa pang-lima na may 6%.
Lamang din si Marcos sa lahat ng rehiyon sa bansa na may pinakamataas na bilang sa Mindanao na mayroong 56 porsyento kumpara sa 11 porsyento ni Robredo.
Ang numerong 53 porsyento ni Marcos ay mas mataas pa ng dalawang porsyento sa huling Pulso ng Pilipino survey na isinagawa ng The Center noong Enero 10-16.
Sa pinakahuling survey, si Marcos din ang nanguna sa NCR na mayroong 51 porsyento, sa Luzon, 53 porsyento at sa Visayas, 52 porsyento. Pangalawa rin si Robredo sa NCR, 20 porsyento, Luzon, 19 porsyento at Visayas, 17 porsyento.
Si Marcos din ang nanguna sa lahat ng antas ng social class, nakakuha siya ng 43 porsyento sa ABC class, 45 porsyento sa class D at 40 porsyento sa Class E.
Ayon kay The Center Director Ed Malay, ang patuloy na pamamayagpag ni Marcos sa survey ay nagpapakita na posibleng siya na ang mananalo sa darating na halalan.
“With all the mudslinging and disparagement thrown at former Sen. Bongbong Marcos, any ordinary mortal would have either wilted or ran away from the battlefield,” ani Malaya
“But BBM as he is called by associates chose to ignore the vitriol and the verbal abuse and for some inexplicable reason he remains on top of the presidential race with a pre-poll survey rating that has been described as phenomenal,” dagdag niya.
“Never in the history of Philippine politics had there been a presidential aspirant who is credited with a +50% rating in the pre-poll survey. In fact, Laylo Research Strategies in their January 2022 survey even showed BBM on top with 64%,” giit pa niya.
Sa karera naman sa pagka-bise presidente, nangunguna pa rin ang katambal ni Marcos na si Inday Sara Durerte na nakakuha ng 54 porsyento, habang si Vicente Sotto III naman ay mayroong 25 porsyento.
Pangatlo si Willie Ong, 11%, Francisco “Kiko” Pangilinan pang-apat, 4%, Joselito Atienza pang-lima, 2% at Walden Bello ang nasa dulo na may .5% habang 3.5% naman ang nananatiling undecided.
Ipinaliwanag naman ni Malay na ang kanilang survey ay gumamit ng pinagsamang tradisyunal na “face-to-face multistage probability sampling” at digital tools bilang pagsunod pa rin sa mga health protocols.
Ang mga respondent naman ay kinuha sa mga registered voters sa iba’t -ibang panig ng bansa.
“The Center employed the commonly used MSAP method or the multi-stage area sampling with the skip interval of at least five houses to obviate any bias in the data extraction,” ani Malay.