Join the campaign (Learn More)

The Manila Times : Marcos, Duterte lead Pulse Asia survey

News & Interviews
23 December 2021

By Red Mendoza and Kristina Maralit | The Manila Times

THE tandem of former senator Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. and Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio led the 2022 pre-election survey of Pulse Asia Research.

In a survey conducted from December 1 to 6 among 2,400 respondents across the country, Marcos got 53 percent followed by Vice President Maria Leonor "Leni" Robredo at a distant 20 percent, Manila Mayor Francisco "Isko Moreno" Domagoso and Sen. Emmanuel "Manny" Pacquiao at both 8 percent, and Sen. Panfilo Lacson at 6 percent.

At the cellar are retired general Antonio Parlade Jr, labor leader Leodegario "Ka Leody" de Guzman and former Defense secretary Norberto Gonzales, while 5 percent did not know their preference, refused to answer or did not answer.

Marcos led in all regions and in all classes, while Domagoso and Pacquiao were second to Marcos in the National Capital Region and Mindanao, respectively.

Meanwhile, Duterte-Carpio led in the vice presidential survey with 45 percent preference, followed by Senate President Vicente Sotto 3rd at 31 percent, Sen. Francis Pangilinan at 12 percent, Dr. Willie Ong at 6 percent, Rep. Jose "Lito" Atienza at 1 percent and former lawmaker Walden Bello at 0.01 percent.

Duterte-Carpio led in the National Capital Region with 45 percent preference, and in Mindanao with an overwhelming 82 percent voting preference, while Sotto led in Balanced Luzon at 36 percent.

Both are in a statistical tie in the Visayas, with Sotto leading at 39 percent and Duterte-Carpio at 38 percent. Duterte-Carpio also led in all economic classes, A to E.

The pollster also gauged possible second-choice preference, or the voters' "replacement" candidate if ever their preferred candidate withdraws from the race, and in this metric, Domagoso led among the second-choice preferences at 23 percent, followed by Lacson at 17 percent, Robredo at 14 percent Pacquiao and Marcos at 11 percent, and de Guzman, Gonzales and Parlade in the rear.closevolume_off

For vice president, Sotto led in the second-choice preference at 32 percent, followed by Pangilinan at 16 percent, Duterte-Carpio at 13 percent, Ong at 10 percent, Atienza at 4 percent and Bello at 0.4 percent.

In the Senate race, Rep. Alan Peter Cayetano led the survey, followed by broadcaster Raffy Tulfo, Antique Rep. Loren Legarda, Sorsogon Gov. Francis Escudero, former Public Works secretary Mark Villar, Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri, former vice president Jejomar Binay, Sen. Emmanuel Joel Villanueva, Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian, President Rodrigo Duterte, actor Robin Padilla, Sen. Ana Theresia "Risa" Hontiveros and former senators Jose "Jinggoy" Estrada and Joseph Victor "JV" Ejercito.

Pulse Asia Executive Director Dr. Ana Maria Tabunda told The Manila Times that the survey reflected the withdrawal of Sen. Christopher Lawrence "Bong" Go but also noted that the survey period included the name of President Duterte, who had made his withdrawal official on December 14, which is outside the survey period.

The survey had a margin of error of plus-minus 2 percent at 95 percent confidence level, while the sub-national results had a margin of error of plus-minus 4 percent, also at a 95 percent confidence level.