The Manila Times : BBM, Sara way ahead in new poll

25 April 2022

By Kaithreen Cruz and Kristina Maralit | The Manila Times

THE UniTeam tandem of presidential candidate Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. and running mate Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio topped the survey of The Issues and Advocacy Center from April 4 to 15.

Marcos got the support of 55 percent of respondents, posting a 36.5 percent lead over his closest rival, Vice President Maria Leonor "Leni" Robredo.

Marcos was the top pick across all geographic areas. He had 59 percent in the National Capital Region (NCR), 48 percent in Luzon, 53 percent in the Visayas and 60 percent in Mindanao.

He also led across socioeconomic classes ABC at 52 percent, D at 51 percent and E at 53 percent.

Robredo scored 16 percent in NCR, 25 percent in Luzon, 19 percent in the Visayas and 14 percent in Mindanao.

"In a sense, what these figures show is that Marcos enjoys a balanced scorecard across all the socioeconomic classes and geographic areas. What this means is that it would be next to impossible for a presidential aspirant or for any candidate to a national position to win without at least posting a decent rating in Mindanao," the pollster said in a statement.

It added that the voter preference for Robredo might have reached a ceiling.

Manila Mayor Francisco "Isko Moreno" Domagoso was third with 11.75 percent. He was followed by Sen. Emmanuel "Manny" Pacquiao (6.5 percent) and Sen. Panfilo "Ping" Lacson (5 percent).

There was a five-way statistical tie among labor leader Leodegario "Ka Leody" de Guzman, former presidential spokesman Ernesto Abella, Faisal Mangondato, former defense chief Norberto Gonzales and Jose Montemayor.

The poll showed that 1.25 percent of the respondents were undecided in their choice for presidential candidate.

Duterte-Carpio was preferred by 50.5 percent of the respondents. She also led across all geographic areas, garnering 45 percent in NCR, 43 percent in Luzon, 50 percent in the Visayas and 64 percent in Mindanao.

She had a 23 percent lead over her closest rival, Senate President Vicente "Tito" Sotto 3rd, who got 27.5 percent.

Trailing Duterte-Carpio and Sotto were Dr. Willie Ong (9 percent) and Sen. Francis "Kiko" Pangilinan (8 percent). There was a five-way statistical tie among Buhay party-list Rep. Jose "Lito" Atienza Jr., Rizalito David, former Akbayan party-list representative Walden Bello, Carlos Serapio and Manny Lopez.

Two percent of the respondents have yet to choose their vice presidential bet.

The survey also had Antique Rep. Loren Legarda and Sorsogon Gov. Francis "Chiz" Escudero tied for the top spot in the Senate race with 54 percent and 53 percent, respectively.

Tied for the third and fourth spots were Taguig Rep. Alan Peter Cayetano with 50 percent and Sen. Juan Miguel "Migz" Zubiri with 49 percent. They were followed by former Public Works and Highways chief Mark Villar (47 percent), broadcaster Raffy Tulfo (46 percent), former senator Joseph Victor "JV" Ejercito (45 percent), and Sen. Sherwin "Win" Gatchalian (41 percent).

Rounding up the top 12 were actor Robinhood Ferdinand "Robin" Padilla (38 percent), Sen. Emmanuel Joel Villanueva (38 percent), Sen. Ana Theresia "Risa" Hontiveros (35 percent) and former Quezon City mayor Herbert "Bistek" Bautista (34 percent).

The pollster used a combination of face-to-face multistage probability sampling and digital tools in polling 2,440 respondents ages 18 to 65. On Saturday, Marcos and Duterte-Carpio held a rally in Sampaloc, Manila.

Marcos warned that the May 9 polls could be sabotaged.

He reiterated his belief that Filipinos are resilient and united despite the challenges from the coronavirus pandemic and different calamities.

Duterte-Carpio extended the gratitude of her father, President Rodrigo Duterte, to the people of Manila for their support to his administration.