The Manila Times : BBM, Sara keep big survey leads

By Kaithreen Cruz | The Manila Times

(UPDATE) PRESIDENTIAL candidate Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. and his running mate Sara Duterte-Carpio maintained their big leads in the latest surveys by Pulse Asia and PUBLiCUS.

Pulse Asia did a nationwide survey from April 16 to 21, while PUBLiCUS' April 25 to 28 poll focused on the National Capital Region (NCR).

Both candidates received the majority of support from respondents in the Pulse Asia survey, Marcos chalking up 56 percent and Duterte-Carpio, 55 percent.

Marcos posted a 33-percent lead over his closest opponent, while Duterte-Carpio was up by 37 percent.

The son of the former president got the biggest support in Mindanao at 67 percent, followed by NCR (57 percent), the rest of Luzon (54 percent) and the Visayas (47 percent).

He was also the top pick in socioeconomic classes ABC and E at 57 percent each and 56 percent in class D.

Trailing Marcos in the Pulse Asia survey was Vice President Maria Leonor "Leni" Robredo with 23 percent. Robredo's support was highest in the Visayas (34 percent), followed by the NCR (26 percent), the rest of Luzon (24 percent) and Mindanao (11 percent).

Sen. Emmanuel "Manny" Pacquiao was in third place with 7 percent, as Manila Mayor Francisco "Isko Moreno" Domagoso dropped to fourth place with 4 percent (from 8 percent in March).

Sen. Panfilo "Ping" Lacson had 2 percent; followed by former Palace spokesman Ernesto Abella and Faisal Mangondato with 1 percent each; labor leader Leodegario "Ka Leody" de Guzman (0.3 percent); former Defense secretary Norberto Gonzales (0.1 percent); and Jose Montemayor Jr. (0.1 percent).

Five percent of the respondents refused to indicate their chosen candidate, while 1 percent left the candidate slot blank.

Domagoso had a significant drop in preference share after the Easter Sunday joint press conference with Lacson and Gonzales, where they announced they were not dropping from the presidential race.

Domagoso, however, also used the press conference to call on Robredo to withdraw.

In Pulse Asia's vice presidential poll, Duterte-Carpio received the highest support in Mindanao with 80 percent, followed by NCR (51 percent), the Visayas (50 percent) and the rest of Luzon (46 percent).

She was also the top choice across socioeconomic classes, with 60 percent in class E, 55 percent in class D and 51 percent in classes ABC.

Senate President Vicente "Tito" Sotto 3rd had 18 percent; Sen. Francis "Kiko" Pangilinan, 16 percent; Dr. Willie Ong, 3 percent; and Emmanuel "Manny" Lopez, 1 percent.

Buhay party-list Rep. Jose "Lito" Atienza got 0.5 percent; former Akbayan party-list representative Walden Bello, 0.4 percent; Carlos Serapio, 0.3 percent; and Rizalito David, 0.1 percent.

In the PUBLiCUS survey, Marcos had a 52.2-percent preference share and Duterte-Carpio had 55.1 percent.

Support for Marcos was highest in socioeconomic class E at 61 percent, D at 54 percent and ABC at 48 percent.

Duterte-Carpio had 62 percent in class E, 56 percent in D and 53 percent in ABC.

PUBLiCUS also said that 87 percent of the respondents were unlikely to replace Marcos as their preferred candidate, and 80 percent were unlikely to replace Duterte-Carpio.

Robredo had a 27.9-percent rating, up by 3.6 percent from the previous survey.

Domagoso was in third place with 7.3 percent, followed by Lacson (4 percent), Pacquiao (1.4 percent), de Guzman (0.9 percent), Abella (0.6 percent) and Gonzales (0.3 percent).

The polling firm said 4.6 percent of the respondents were undecided, while 0.4 percent said that they are not supporting any presidential candidate.

Among vice presidential candidates, Pangilinan was in second place at 19.4 percent, followed by Ong and Sotto who are in a statistical tie at 9.6 and 9.3 percent, respectively, Atienza (0.9 percent) and Bello (0.8 percent).

Pulse Asia did face-to-face interviews with 2,400 respondents.

PUBLiCUS polled 1,626 respondents — 50 from Pateros, 76 from San Juan City and 100 each in the rest of the metropolis.

The respondents were randomly drawn from a market research panel of Purespectrum.

The Manila Times is the media partner of PUBLiCUS.

On Monday, Marcos' spokesman Vic Rodriguez thanked the people for their continued support for the candidate, as shown by the latest survey results.

"Seven days to go before election day, the trajectory and the numbers of presidential front-runner "Bongbong" Marcos and vice presidential leader Sara Duterte are showing no signs of slowing down. The message and call for unity have reverberated all over the land among a great majority of Filipinos who responded by continuously embracing the [UniTeam] tandem," Rodriguez said.

He urged people to go out and vote on May 9, and for them to be vigilant and make sure "the true and genuine will of the people shall be heard, be counted and prevail."

Robredo's spokesman Barry Gutierrez said the Pulse Asia survey "further confirms" Robredo's "upward trajectory and momentum."

In a statement Monday, Gutierrez said the numbers "remain encouraging, even if the survey does not yet capture the series of massive rallies from mid-April onwards, including the record-breaking 400k+ Pasay Rally on April 23."

He said the remaining weeks of the campaign "have seen intensified efforts at house-to-house, person-to-person campaigning by thousands of volunteers, which we believe will translate to support on election day. This has truly become a people's campaign, a grassroots movement of Filipinos from all walks of life and from all over the Philippines."