The Manila Times : 68:32 ratio 'not evidence of fraud'

By Kaithreen Cruz | The Manila Times

(UPDATED) THE University of the Philippines (UP) School of Statistics said the 68:32 ratio trend in the transmitted votes for presumptive president Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. and presumptive vice president Sara "Inday" Duterte-Carpio reflected in the Commission on Elections' Transparency Server is not evidence of election fraud.

The votes reflected on the server were partial and unofficial, the school said.

In a statement, it said the stagnation of the 68:32 ratio was based on the cumulative totals and could not be considered an irregularity.

"Kung walang malinaw na konteksto, ang ganitong pattern sa porsyento ng boto ay hindi maaaring gamiting ebidensya ng pandaraya (Without a clear context, such a pattern in the percentage of the vote cannot be used as evidence of fraud)," it said.

OCTA Research Senior Fellow Dr. Guido David affirmed the statement of the UP School of Statistics.

In a tweet, David said this ratio could have been a result of the Law of Large Numbers and may have occurred based on the process of transmission of votes to the transparency server.

The Law of Large Numbers states that as a sample size becomes larger, the same mean (average) gets closer to the expected value.

"I hope we can put this matter to rest," David said.

Some groups claimed that the results from the transparency server were anomalous, pointing to the 68:32 ratio.