Nikkei Asia : Marcos keeps big lead in latest Philippine presidential poll

14 March 2022

By CLIFF VENZON, Nikkei staff writer | Nikkei Asia

Late dictator's son has support rate of 60%, vs 15% for Robredo

MANILA -- Ferdinand Marcos Jr., the son and namesake of the late Philippine dictator, has kept his big lead in the latest opinion poll for the presidential election on May 9.

Marcos maintained his 60% score from January, according to results of a Feb. 18-23 Pulse Asia survey released on Monday. The poll asked 2,400 people who would they vote for if the presidential election was held during the survey period.

The poll -- the first major survey conducted after official campaigns kicked off on Feb. 8 -- gives Marcos a comfortable advantage less than two months before polling day. He simply needs to secure more votes than his nine other rivals to win.

Marcos Jr.'s victory would be a remarkable political comeback for the family. His late father was ousted in a 1986 popular uprising that abruptly ended his 20-year rule, which was notorious for human rights abuses and corruption.

Marcos's polling numbers have been boosted partly by his team-up with presidential daughter and Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte, who opted to run for vice president despite leading opinion polls last year to succeed his father. Their alliance consolidated voter support, analysts say.

Sara Duterte also led the Pulse Asia poll for vice president with a 53% score, an increase from 50% in January. The president and vice president are elected separately in the Philippines.

Trailing Marcos in the presidential poll is Vice President Leni Robredo, the opposition leader, who scored 15%, down from 16% in January.

Robredo's campaign team said the February poll does not yet capture the "game-changing developments" of recent weeks.

"With this clear momentum from the people's campaign -- reflected both in the massive rallies as well as in online metrics -- we are confident that the next 56 days will culminate in an election day victory for Leni Robredo," spokesperson Barry Gutierrez said in a statement.

Manila Mayor Isko Moreno came in third with 10%, followed by boxing icon Sen. Manny Pacquiao on 8%, and Sen. Panfilo Lacson with 2%.

In the survey for vice president, Senate President Tito Sotto came in second with 24%, trailed by opposition Sen. Francis Pangilinan on 11%, and Dr. Willie Ong with 6%.

The survey had a 2% margin of error at 95% confidence level.