Manila Bulletin - Poe, Marcos lead in Magdalo’s February survey

8 February 2016

By Mario Casayuran | Manila Bulletin

Manila-BulletinSenators Grace Poe and Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. lead their rivals in the latest survey conducted by the Magdalo party founded by rightist military officers led by Sen. Antonio F. Trillanes IV.

The survey employed a multi-stage probability sampling design with almost 3000 respondents distributed across the different regions of the country, and has a margin of error of 1.8 percent.

Poe, who was in a tight race with Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte in the December on survey of the Magdalo topped the February 3 to 5 survey of the with 29.9 percent.

She is by followed by Duterte, with 26.6 percent, who is statistically tied with Vice President Jejomar Binay with 25.5 percent.

Duterte is the standard bearer of the PDP-Laban who is running in tandem with Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano.

In 4th place is former Interior Secretary and Liberal Party bet Mar Roxas with 14 percent and Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago of the People’s Reform Party (PRP) in the 5th spot with 3.3 percent.


Congressman Francisco Ashley Acedillo, Magdalo party list representative, explained that similar to their previous pre-election surveys, randomly selected respondents were given a list of candidates running president/vice president, and were asked: “If elections would be held today, who among the following candidates would you vote for?”

Acedillo said Poe’s rating declined in previous surveys may be attributed to the confusion of the electorate generated by the disqualification cases filed against her.

However, Poe’s clarification that she was still a candidate despite a string of disqualification cases helped improve her numbers.

Marcos, on the other hand, is the new leading candidate for vice president with 28 percent, beating the long-time frontrunner Sen. Francis Escudero with 26 percent.  Escudero is the running mate of Poe.  Both are running as independents.

Marcos is the running mate of Sen. Santiago.

Coming in third is Cayetano with 16.1 percent, followed by Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo with 14.3 percent, Trillanes IV with 8.4 percent, and Sen. Gregorio Honasan with 5 percent.

Both Trillanes and Honasan are former military officers. Trillanes is supporting the presidential bid of Poe while Honasan is the running mate of Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA).


Aside from the Magdalo survey, Poe also led the survey conducted by pollster Junie Laylo from January 27 to February 4 where she was chosen by 29 percent of the 3,000 respondents.  Binay and Roxas were tied in second place with 22 percent, followed by Duterte with 20 percent.

“I owe this top ranking…to the Filipino people, who continue to put their faith in my capacity to lead the country,” Poe said in a statement.

 “They are my driving force in being unflinching in fighting for change and in pushing an inclusive platform for a progressive and just society,” she said.

“I look forward to coming face to face with more of our kababayan in the campaign period,” she added.