GMA News Online - Marcos claims solo lead in Pulse Asia's latest VP survey

12 April 2016

By Joseph Tristan Roxas | GMA News Online 

GMA-News-OnlineSenator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. took the solo lead in Pulse Asia's latest vice presidential preference survey released Tuesday.

Sen. Francis Escudero, who shared the lead with Marcos in the previous Pulse Asia survey, was statistically tied with Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo.

The survey, commissioned by ABS-CBN, was conducted from March 29 to April 3 using face-to-face interviews with 4,000 respondents. It had a sampling error margin of +/-1.5 percent.

Marcos got 28 percent while Robredo and Escudero had 22 percent and 21 percent, respectively.

Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano had 15 percent while Senators Antonio Trillanes IV and Gregorio Honasan had 5 percent and 4 percent, respectively.

Escudero, meanwhile, was the top second choice for respondents with 29 percent followed by Cayetano with 16 percent, Marcos with 12 percent, Robredo with 11 percent, and Trillanes and Honasan both with six percent.

The respondents were asked: If the coming May 2016 elections were held today, whom would you for as Vice President of the Philippines?

Pulse Asia said one percent of the respondents refused or said they did not know, two percent were undecided and 2 percent did not answer.

In the previous survey conducted from March 15 to 20, Marcos and Escudero were tied with 25 percent each followed by Robredo with 21 percent.

Cayetano was on third place with 14 percent followed by Honasan with 5 percent and Trillanes with 4 percent.

By demographics

Marcos dominated the poll in Metro Manila with 47 percent, 28 points ahead of Escudero's 19 percent. Robredo ranked third with 14 percent, followed by Cayetano with 11 percent, Honasan with four percent, and Trillanes with three percent.

Two percent had no answer while only one percent were undecided.

Marcos also led in Balance Luzon with 34 percent followed by Escudero with 25 percent, Robredo with 20 percent, Cayetano with nine percent, Trillanes with four percent, and Honasan with three percent.

Four percent in Balance Luzon said they were undecided while one percent either had no answer or refused to answer.

Robredo and Cayetano, meanwhile, led in the projected bailiwicks of their standard-bearers in Visayas and Mindanao, respectively.

Robredo topped in Visayas with 36 percent followed by Escudero with 18 percent, Marcos and Cayetano both with 17 percent, Trillanes with five percent, and Honasan with four percent.

Two percent had no answer in Visayas while one percent were undecided.

Cayetano led in Mindanao with 30 percent, followed by Escudero with 18 percent, Marcos and Robredo with 17 percent apiece, Trillanes with eight percent, and Honasan with six percent.

Three percent of respondents in Mindanao gave no answer.

Pulse Asia said that subnational estimates for the geographic areas have the following error margins at 95% confidence level: ± 4.6% for Metro Manila, ± 2.3% for the rest of Luzon and ± 3.4% for Visayas and ± 3.3 for Mindanao.

The issues and events that happened before and during the survey period include:

  • start of the campaign season for local candidates in the May elections
  • hacking of the Commission on Elections' website
  • One Cebu party to back Duterte after the collapse of its alliance with Binay's party
  • Poe's confirmation that she met with a minister of the Iglesia ni Cristo
  • the decision of the Sandiganbayan finding LLDA general manager Nereus Acoster guilty of graft
  • the violent dispersal of 6,000 protesters in Kidapawan City
  • power outage at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Terminal 3
  • President Benigno Aquino III's signing of a law exempting PWDs from paying 12% value-added tax on specific goods and services
  • the Rizal Commercial Bangking Corp.'s decision to fire branch manager Maia Santos-Deguito
  • filing of graft charges against Sen. Joseph Victor Ejercito and several other incumbent and former San Juan City officials
  • terror attacks in Brussels, which left more than 30 people dead