Daily Tribune : BBM, Sara keep pole positions in surveys

14 February 2022

By Michelle Guillang and Alvin Murcia | Daily Tribune

In the latest Pulse Asia survey released yesterday, Bongbong’s numbers increased by seven percentage points from the previous poll in December 2021, obtaining 60 percent

Former senator Bongbong Marcos and his running mate, Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio, kept their frontrunning positions in separate surveys, indicating that their rivals will have a lot of catching up to do with barely three months left before the 9 May polls.

In the latest Pulse Asia survey released yesterday, Bongbong’s numbers increased by seven percentage points from the previous poll in December 2021, obtaining 60 percent.

The latest nationwide pre-election survey was conducted from 19 to 24 January or around two weeks before the official campaign period for national posts began.

In a statement, Bongbong’s spokesperson Vic Rodriguez said the survey “underscores the very positive reception of the populace towards Marcos’ candidacy for president.”

“The latest Pulse Asia survey results where presidential candidate Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr. received 60 percent pre-election voters’ preference score confirm what we already know all this time, that the UniTeam standard-bearer is leading far ahead and by a very wide margin from the other presidentiables,” Rodriguez said.

“Numbers don’t lie, and it is really humbling to know that our message for national unity is resonating among the overwhelming majority of the Filipino people,” he added.

For Bongbong’s camp, it only shows that the Filipino nation is now “ready to unite as a people” and “geared to claim her greatness once again.”

Vice President Leni Robredo retains her second spot in the presidential race.

Her numbers, however, decreased by four percentage points.

She received 16 percent in the latest poll, compared to her 20 percent in December 2021.

During the period that the survey was held, the Commission on Elections Second Division unanimously dismissed a petition to cancel Bongbong’s certificate of candidacy over his tax offense conviction.

This was the same period when Leni was endorsed by 23 former government officials, including 14 former Cabinet secretaries under the Ramos administration.

Like the previous survey, Manila Mayor Isko Moreno and Senator Manny Pacquiao were tied for third place with eight percent each.

Senator Panfilo Lacson’s numbers also fell, ranking fourth with four percent from the previous six percent.

Other bets

Other presidential candidates such as Faisal Mangondato received 0.3 percent, former presidential spokesperson Ernesto Abella is at 0.05 person, and labor leader Leody de Guzman got 0.02 percent.

Two percent of the respondents are still undecided about their choice for president.

Isko, meanwhile, is the highest second-choice voter preference in the survey.

Should their original presidential bet withdraw from the elections, 24 percent of voters with a first choice for president would instead vote for Isko.

Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio continues to lead the vice-presidential race with 50 percent.

The presidential daughter was trailed by Senate President Vicente Sotto III with 29 percent, and Sen. Francis Pangilinan with 11 percent.

Doctor Willie Ong hit five percent, while Buhay Partylist Rep. Lito Atienza obtained one percent.

The nationwide survey had a sample of 2,400 respondents and has a ±2 percent error margin at the 95 percent confidence level.

Sizeable margin

In a nationwide survey conducted by the RP Mission and Development Foundation (RPMD), Bongbong posted a sizeable margin against his closest rivals in terms of geographic areas, as he took the lead in Metro Manila (47.94 percent), the rest of Luzon (46.61 percent), Visayas (38.87 percent), and Mindanao (46.04 percent).

The standard bearer of the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) garnered 45.02 percent of respondents’ votes, or five out of ten adults, followed by Vice President Maria Leonor “Leni” Robredo, who got 20.6 percent.

Manila Mayor Francisco “Isko Moreno” Domagoso ranked third with a 16.25 percent preference rating, while Senator Emmanuel “Manny” Pacquiao is running fourth with a 9.79 percent preference rating, and Senator Panfilo “Ping” Lacson fifth with an 8.00 percent score.

In the vice-presidential race, 52.05 percent of Filipinos picked Sara on the strength of her 65.70 domination of Mindanao, her bailiwick. She was also deemed the preferred candidate in other geographic areas, including Metro Manila (44.62 percent), the rest of Luzon (48.65 percent), and the Visayas regions (48.04 percent).

Trailing her is Senate President Vicente Sotto III with 35.95 percent. Senator Francis Pangilinan procured the support of 6.22 percent of the respondents. The rest of the vice-presidential aspirants had single-digit voter preference.

Senate race

In the senatorial race, former Department of Public Works and Highways Secretary Mark Villar is the most fancied candidate, with 63.7 percent followed by Sorsogon Governor Francis “Chiz” Escudero (58.2 percent), Antique Representative Loren Legarda (57.9 percent), broadcaster Raffy Tulfo (55.3 percent), former House Speaker Alan Cayetano (49.6 percent) and Sen. Juan Miguel “Migz” Zubiri (46.1 percent).

The survey revealed that ACT-CIS (9.37 percent) is the top choice partylist among voters, followed by Ako Bicol (8.21 percent), 4PS (5.25 percent), An Waray (4.73 percent), and Gabriela (4.26 percent).

The “Halalan 2022 Survey” is non-commissioned research conducted 22 to 30 January 2022 with 10,000 registered voters as respondents nationwide using random sampling with -/+1 % margin of error, said Dr. Paul Martinez of RPMD.

Laylo Research

In another survey conducted by Laylo Research from 10 to 26 January this year, Sara emerged as the most dominant vice-presidential bet, leading her rivals for the position across various demographics, including economic class, gender and age.

President Duterte’s daughter was picked by 60 percent of Filipinos, more than triple that of the second-placed candidate, Senate President Vicente Sotto, who only had a 19 percent preference rating overall.

Diving into demographics, Sara was the top choice of Filipinos living in both urban and rural areas at 59 and 61 percent, respectively.

As for voters grouped according to economic class, they consistently picked the Davao City mayor.

A whopping 65 percent from class ABC picked Sara, 59 percent did the same from class D, while 61 percent also went her way from class E.

On the gender subsect, the story remained the same.

A high 62 percent of male survey respondents chose Sara, while her fellow women also showed solid support with a 59 percent preference rate.

The Laylo Report likewise revealed the preferences of three age groups: 18 to 34, 35 to 54, and 55 and above.

The three groups all picked the Lakas-CMD chairperson with scores of 63 percent, 60 percent, and 57 percent, respectively.

The same report showed that Mayor Duterte also had a comfortable lead over her rivals in terms of trust rating.

Net trust rating

For the entire country, the lady official garnered a net trust rating of 56 percent, with her closest rival only mustering 18 percent.

Sara’s trust rating was number one in the National Capital Region at 50 percent; North/Central Luzon, 54 percent; South Luzon/Bicol, 41 percent; Visayas, 48 percent; and Mindanao, 81 percent.

The Davao City mayor is hinging her vice-presidential candidacy on patriotism; compassion for her countrymen amid the effects of the coronavirus disease; and continuing the various game-changing policies and programs of her father, President Duterte.

Aside from Lakas-CMD and her regional party Hugpong ng Pagbabago, at least four political parties have endorsed Sara as their vice-presidential candidate such as the administration’s party PDP Laban, PFP, Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino and People’s Reform Party.