By Eimor Santos | CNN Philippines
Senators Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Francis “Chiz” Escudero were tied for the top spot in the latest Pulse Asia pre-election survey, but Marcos established a clear lead in Metro Manila.
Four out of 10 (41 percent) Metro Manila residents said they would vote for Marcos as vice president if the 2016 elections were held during the survey period from March 15 to 20.
In the nationwide survey results, Marcos and Escudero both gained the highest 25 percent of the respondents’ votes.
Next came Liberal Party (LP) bet Leni Robredo who got 21 percent, followed by Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano with 14 percent.
Trailing far behind were Senators Gringo Honasan (5 percent) and Antonio Trillanes IV (4 percent).
A large sample of 4,000 registered voters were asked: “Kung ang darating na eleksyon sa Mayo 2016 ay gaganapin ngayon, sino po ang inyong iboboto bilang BISE-PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS?”
The survey has a margin of error of ± 1.5 percent with a 95 percent confidence level.
Who is top VP of the poor?
Across geographical areas, Robredo enjoyed the support of the Visayas (34 percent) while Cayetano was the top choice of Mindanaoans (28 percent).
Either Marcos or Escudero led survey results in the rest of Luzon (32 and 29 percent, respectively), and among people in income class ABC (35 and 23 percent) and class D (27 and 25).
The poorest class E expressed support for Escudero (25 percent) and Robredo (23 percent).
What if their VP bet withdraws from race?
If their chosen candidate “does not pursue his/her candidacy for whatever reason,” a high 26 percent of the respondents said they would vote for Escudero instead.
He was the top alternative candidate if Marcos, Robredo, Cayetano, or Honasan withdraws from the race.
If Escudero would not pursue his candidacy, those who originally wanted to vote for him would shift their votes to Cayetano (20 percent), Robredo (20 percent) and Marcos (18 percent).
Escudero and Marcos are the second choice of those voting for Trillanes, both gaining 22 percent.