BBM bandwagon rams through rivals’ bailiwicks — Kalye Surveys

5 March 2022

LATEST Kalye Survey results have shown that political rivals of Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) standard-bearer Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr. are losing their grip even in their so-called bailiwicks thus, further diminishing their chances of toppling him in the scheduled May 9 elections.

“With 67 days before the elections, other candidates are losing preferences in their regions to Senator Bongbong Marcos and Mayor Inday Sara by huge margins, either by scientific surveys or through our own Kalye Survey summaries. Any deviation from all these numbers would be highly dubious at this point,” SPLAT Communications, which conducts the analytics of Kalye Survey summaries, stressed.

In the latest Pulso ng Pilipinas, a summation of surveys conducted until February 24, Marcos enjoys a wide lead in regional clusters in Luzon that are outside his known bailiwicks of North and Central Luzon, with 45.67 % or 15,365 of 33,646 respondents.

SPLAT Communications dubbed the cluster as Balance of Luzon, which is composed of CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.

Leni Robredo, who hails from Bicol, placed second with 6,578 or 19.55 %.

Isko Moreno landed in third place with 3,041 or 9.04 %.

Manny Pacquiao was fourth with 2,073 or 6.16 % and Panfilo Lacson was fifth with 984 or 2.92 %. The undecided was, however, noticeably high at 16.66 %.

Based on the summation per region in the said cluster, Robredo dislodged Marcos from No. 1 in the Bicol Region with 4,150 or 49.02 % of the 8,466 respondents against Marcos’ 2,021 or 23.87%.

However, Marcos topped the two other clusters, CALABARZON and MIMAROPA.

The PFP presidential bet garnered 11,816 or 55.86 % of the 21,152 respondents in CALABARZON; got 1,528 or 37.93 % of 4,028 respondents in MIMAROPA.

On the other hand, Robredo was No. 2 in CALABARZON with 2,030 or 9.60%; however, she dropped to No. 3 in MIMAROPA with 398 or 9.88%.

Moreno was at second place in the said region with his 405 or 10.06%.

“If there is one cluster of regions that VP Leni is expecting much-needed votes for her, this is it as this cluster contains her known bailiwick, the Bicol Region,” SPLAT said in its analysis.

“However, based on the data that was just presented, no large-scale support is coming … It does not take to be a mathematician or statistician to know that there is simply no way for her to even be just at par with the strength of the North and Central Luzon figures of BBM,” SPLAT pointed out.

SPLAT added that the Kalye Survey results validated an earlier result of a “scientific survey” which showed that Marcos is leading in the said region.

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FILIPINO VERSION

BBM BAGYO KAHIT SA BALWARTE NG MGA KALABAN! – KALYE SURVEY

KAHIT sa tinatawag na balwarte ng mga katunggali ay nakakukuha ng malaking boto si Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) standard-bearer Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr., patunay na lalo pang lumalakas ang tsansa niya at ang running-mate na si Inday Sara Duterte na magwagi sa darating na halalan sa Mayo 9, 2022.

“With 67 days before the elections, other candidates are losing preferences in their regions to Senator Bongbong Marcos and Mayor Inday Sara by huge margins, either by scientific surveys or through our own Kalye Survey summaries. Any deviation from all these numbers would be highly dubious at this point,” sabi ng SPLAT Communications na siyang gumagawa ng analytics ng Kalye Survey.

Sa pinakabagong kabuuang tala ng survey ng Pulso ng Pilipinas na isinagawa noong Pebrero 24, tuloy ang malaking kalamangan ni Marcos sa ‘regional clusters’ sa Luzon na labas sa balwarte niyang North at Central Luzon.

Nakakuha rito si Marcos ng 45.67 porsiyento na katumbas ng 15,365  sa 33,646 respondents.

Ipinaliwanag ng SPLAT Communications ang mga cluster sa Balance of Luzon ay binubuo ng CALABARZON, MIMAROPA at Bicol Region.

Si Leni Robredo na taga-Bicol ay malayong pangalawa kay Marcos sa botong nakuha na 6,578 o 19.55 porsiyento.

Si Isko Moreno na pangatlo ay may 3,041 o 9.04 porsiyento. Pang-apat si Manny Pacquiao sa 2,073 na boto o 6.16 porsiyento at Ping Lacson na panglima ay may 984 boto o 2.92 porsiyento lang.

Medyo mataas naman ang undecided na naitalang 16.66 porsiyento.

Sa kabuuang bilang kada rehiyon, si Leni ay nakalamang ng bahagya kay Marcos sa Bicol mula sa nakuha nitong 4,159 o 49.02 porsiyento ng 8,466 respondents; habang si Marcos ay may 2,021 o 23.87 porsiyento naman.

Gayunpaman, una uli si Marcos sa dalawa pang cluster na CALABARZON at MIMAROPA.

Si Marcos ay may 11,816 o 55.86 porsiyento mula sa kabuuang 21,152 respondents sa CALABARZON; mayroon naman siyang 1,528 boto o 37.93 % mula sa 4,028 respondents sa MIMAROPA.

Sa kabilang dako, si Robredo ay nakakuha lamang ng 2,030 o 9.60% sa CALABARZON; at bumagsak siya sa rank three sa MIMAROPA mula sa nakuhang 398 o 9.88 p%.

Si Isko ang pangalawa rito na may 405 votes o 10.06 %.

“If there is one cluster of regions that VP Leni is expecting much-needed votes for her, this is it as this cluster contains her known bailiwick, the Bicol Region,” sabi pa sa analysis ng SPLAT.

“However, based on the data that was just presented, no large-scale support is coming … It does not take to be a mathematician or statistician to know that there is simply no way for her to even be just at par with the strength of the North and Central Luzon figures of BBM,” sabi pa nila.

Muling binigyang-diin ng SPLAT na ang resulta ng Kalye Survey sa Luzon ay nagpapatunay sa kamakailan lamang na “scientific survey result” sa patuloy pa ding pamamayagpag ni Marcos sa iba pang rehiyon ng bansa. 

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